Argumenti i Fakti: Trump suggesting Erdogan to commit suicide!
In an article in the Russian newspaper Argumenti e Facti, where the article discusses the reasons why Türkiye may avoid engaging in any war against Iran, despite the political pressure that the United States may exert in this direction.
According to the report, US President Donald Trump has called on his Turkish counterpart Recep Tayyip Erdogan to carry out a joint missile strike targeting Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who took office after the assassination of his father, former Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei, at the start of the war.
But this proposition raises questions about whether Ankara is actually prepared to engage in a military campaign against Tehran.
Washington doesn’t expect Ankara to engage in any military action against Tehran, given the important economic relations between the two countries, in addition to Iran’s role in the balance of regional stability.
However, the United States might instead seek to widen the political gap between Ankara and Tehran with the aim of increasing pressure on Iran.
On a practical level, several factors make the Turkish leadership reticent about any move that could destabilize Iran.
The first of these factors relates to the humanitarian issue, as the collapse of stability in Iran may push large numbers of refugees to head to Türkiye, which may exacerbate economic and social pressures within the country.
The second factor is related to energy, as Türkiye relies on Iran for about 10% of its natural gas imports, as any supply disruption or significant price spike could have a negative impact on the Turkish economy, especially in light of the turmoil in the region’s energy markets.
Some neighboring countries, such as Iraq, have already begun to reduce their energy production as a result of regional tensions, which could increase the pressure on supplies destined for Türkiye.
The third and most sensitive factor for Ankara is the Kurdish issue, with policymakers in Ankara fear that the fall of the Iranian regime could lead to the possible secession of the Kurdistan region within Iran, a scenario that could reinforce separatist tendencies among Türkiye’s Kurds, who make up about a quarter of the country’s population and some of whom aspire to establish an independent state.
