Russian media are saying that Russia would provide Iran with capabilities that would enable it to counter an Israeli attack on its nuclear facilities.
The US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo demanded, in a peremptory tone, the UN Security Council “to extend the United Nations embargo on arms supplies to Tehran, which expires in October”.
The main reason for asking the United States to extend the arms embargo to Tehran is to thwart a possible agreement between Russia and Iran to provide heavy Russian fighters, as the talks is about a large batch of the Su-30, which Tehran and Moscow appear to have reached an agreement on in 2016.
At the time, in 2016, the deal should have been approved by the Security Council, however US President Obama opposed it.
Perhaps the Russian president suggested to his counterpart Hasan Rouhani to wait.
Thus, the deal was apparently postponed to October 2020, the end of the ban.
During this time, the Iranian interest in latest Russian aircraft increased, as Tehran is not only considering owning the Su-30 and MiG-35, but rather the Su-57.
According to a study by Brown University military experts, Israel could at any moment launch an attack on Iran’s nuclear facilities, with the formation of a hundred or more F-15 and F-16 aircraft, many of which carry GBU-28 bombs against underground fortifications.
However, with Tehran’s possible possession of the Russian fighters Su-30 and MiG-35, the situation for Israel will dramatically change.
Therefore, the United States is doing everything it can to extend the arms embargo, as Pompeo said.
The White House receives little support in this regard, even from allies.
The utmost that the US can bet on is a European proposal to extend part of the embargo for six months, on the pretext of new, comprehensive inspections by the International Atomic Energy Agency.
It is not entirely clear how Russia and China will act in this case.
In any case, the United States won’t be able, through the United Nations, to implement a final ban on the supply of Su-30 and MiG-35 to Tehran from Russia.
And if it didn’t take place in October 2020, then it will be in April 2021.
Thus, the Russian-Iranian deal will be done.
