Foreign Policy magazine said that world war has become a real and expected possibility, if not imminent, and that unlike the United States, which needs to be strong in three places, each of its opponents – China, Russia, and Iran – must be strong only in their native region to achieve their goals.
The Foreign Policy said, “The worst scenario is an escalation of the war in at least three remote theaters, fought by a dispersed US army, along with ill-equipped allies who are often unable to defend themselves against the major industrial powers, which have the determination, resources, and ruthlessness necessary to deal with this war”.
The Foreign Policy added, “Waging this battle will require a wide range of national unity, mobilization of resources, and a willingness to sacrifice, in a way that the Americans and their allies haven’t witnessed for generations”.
The Foreign Policy emphasized that the United States previously fought wars on multiple fronts, but in past conflicts, it was always able to outperform its opponents in production, but this is no longer the case, as the Chinese Navy is actually larger than the US Navy, in terms of the huge number of ships, It grows in a way equivalent to the entire French navy every year, that is, by about 130 ships”.
According to the Foreign Policy, the United States will enter into conflict today with debts that already exceed 100% of GDP, if war breaks out, noting that it’s also expected that the debt will swell to 200% of GDP, or higher.
Moreover, debt burdens of this size would threaten catastrophic consequences for the US economy and financial system.
The Foreign Policy believed that a global conflict would bring other risks, as there are two competitors to the United States – Russia and Iran – who are major producers of oil energy.
One recent report found that a prolonged closure of the Strait of Hormuz, amid a broader conflict in the Middle East, could push oil prices beyond $100 per barrel, significantly increasing inflationary pressures.
As for China, it’s a major holder of US debt, and its continued selling may lead to a rise in US bond yields and impose further pressure on the economy.
Based on this, it can be assumed that Americans will face shortages in everything, from electronics to home building materials, according to Foreign Policy.
All of these results, which Foreign Policy talked about, if war broke out, will pale in comparison to the human costs that the United States may incur in a global conflict.
The Foreign Policy explained that a large number of US soldiers are likely to die, noting that a group of the United States’ opponents possesses conventional and nuclear capabilities that can reach American territory, and others have the ability to inspire or direct attacks on US territory, which may it’s easier to implement, given the porous situation at the southern border of the United States.
The Foreign Policy concluded by saying that the United States and its allies are entering a stage of difficult decisions.
What is happening in Ukraine and Israel would have seemed unimaginable even a few years ago, and the Americans and their allies must start arranging their affairs now, so that they don’t find themselves unprepared for a global conflict, if it breaks out.
