Merkel’s time might be ticking…
By: Syrializm Analytics
The ruling coalition (the Christian Democratic Union, the Christian Social Union and the Social Democratic Party) in Germany has reached a historic low after the failure in Bavaria and the investigations against Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen, those who might be the new blow to the German Chancellor Angela Merkel’s election power in the state of Hesse.
According to recent surveys by Deutsche & Trend, the ruling coalition within the Christian Democratic Union, the Christian Social Union and the Social Democratic Party in Germany has fallen to a record low for the three, they did not score only half the votes needed to control the Bundestag, but much less by 39%.
The CDU and CSU are supported by 25% of voters and the Social Democratic Party by 14%.
All this in just two weeks. At the end of September, 45% of the population supported 45% of the population.
17% voted for the SPD, and 28% voted for the Merkel faction.
The root causes of the current government in Germany are well known.
The refugee crisis itself has officially ended, but the setbacks they feel continue.
As happened during the events of September in Saxony, where migrants killed Germany.
Disputes over the refugees have caused serious tensions in the ruling coalition.
Interior Minister Horst Seehofer, who has repeatedly criticized Merkel for her immigration policy, has been attacked by the Social Democrats for mediating anti-espionage chief Hans-Georg Masin, who denied being beaten by immigrants during Chimentz’s work.
There was a crisis not only in the government, but also within Merkel’s own party.
In September, deputies of the Christian Democratic Union (CDU) voted in a secret ballot to dismiss one of the main allies and Merkel’s right-hand man, the head of the Volker Kauder faction, who held the post for 13 years in a row.
For the first time, official German newspapers have been talking about the end of Merkel’s era and her departure.
Now turn to the Defense Minister Ursula von der Leyen.
On the other day, the Berlin prosecutor’s office launched an investigation against her to hire “outside consultants” to work for the German Defense Ministry.
This situation is very difficult for the Merkel faction, especially for the Social Democrats, and this is the failure they faced in the elections in Bavaria.
Merkel’s survival in power depends on the outcome of the election in Hesse.
According to the latest forecast, the CDU will lose its prime minister in Hesse.
These elections may put an end to the alliance of the Christian Democratic Union and the Social Democratic Party.
Hesse is the only land in which the right-wing party for Germany has not yet been represented.
Parliamentary elections in Bavaria, where the RCD lost for the first time since 1945 an absolute majority of votes, with 37%, was another confirmation of the rapid decline in influence of Merkel and her faction on German politics.
Even if Merkel’s Bavarian sister wants to join the coalition with the Social Democrats (9.7 percent), she will not have enough votes to form a government.
If the African Development Alliance can get at least 15 percent of this federal land and the Greens party will come to power, that means that Merkel’s strong throne begins to shake and the end of her era.