Reports: The Syrian coast awaits autonomy under Russian umbrella

Reports indicates that the developments in Sweida province have put the issue of “autonomy” and perhaps “partition” back on the table, especially in light of what these sources described as growing Israeli influence in the region.

Sources talked about secret contacts and consultations are taking place between international and regional powers to define a map of influence within Syria, with the active participation of Israel, the United States, Russia, and Türkiye, in an attempt to chart a new course for the political and administrative situation in Syria.

These moves indicate an actual conflict between two main projects in Syria: a Turkish project seeking to expand its influence in the north and the coast through the Turkmen component, and an Israeli-Russian project focusing on dividing influence in the south and the coast, and pushing towards a federal model under undeclared supervision from Moscow.

The Syrian Coast Towards “Administrative Independence” Under a Russian Umbrella… Amid Alawite Warnings of a Worrying Scenario, as the Russian plan for the Syrian coast is still in place, as preparations are underway for an “administrative federal” model that includes the provinces of Latakia, Tartus, and parts of Homs, independent of the central authority of Damascus.

This plan is being implemented with indirect support from Israel, according to the source.

Meanwhile, Ankara is trying to consolidate its presence in northern Latakia by supporting the Turkmen, but Israel rejects any Turkish role in the coast, considering it a threat to its security project.

Information indicates Turkish-Iranian cooperation in the eastern regions and some of the regime’s old areas of influence, through figures affiliated with the Revolutionary Guard or former agents.

Observers believe that the Russian-Israeli card is gaining the upper hand so far, amid indications of Moscow’s determination not to abandon the Syrian coast, reflected in regular flights between the Hmeimim base and Qamishli airport, to bolster its military presence without direct clashes with other parties.

These developments coincide with escalating tensions on the Syrian coast, where reports have emerged of suspicious preparations aimed at igniting a new conflict under the guise of “remnants of the former regime”.

This has sparked deep concern among Alawite communities in Homs and the western countryside of Hama province.

Amid this atmosphere, the Supreme Alawite Islamic Council in Syria and Abroad, headed by Sheikh Ghazal Ghazal, issued a statement calling on Alawites to stay home and avoid engaging in any activities that could be exploited by external parties.

In a similar warning, lawyer Issa Ibrahim, head of the Civil Labor Movement and a member of the Alawite Islamic Council in Europe, said that “preparations are underway for a fabricated military operation under the slogan of fighting the remnants of the former regime,” targeting Alawite areas in the coastal region, Western countryside of Hama, and Homs.

In a post on his Facebook page, Ibrahim revealed meetings that included Turkish and Iranian officials with the new Syrian President, Ahmed al Sharaa, as well as prominent figures such as Farhan al Marsoumi, whom he described as “the Iranian official responsible for Shiism in the Euphrates Valley”.

He added that these meetings aim to introduce Shiite militias into these areas to create a justification for military intervention.

He stated that a clothing factory in the town of Brummana al Mashaikh in Tartus had begun producing military uniforms similar to those of the former Syrian army, in an attempt to dress the “supposed remnants” in nationalist garb that would later be used to justify a violent military campaign.