Israeli media discussing what is the possible scenario to attack Iran’s nuclear facilities
Israeli Channel 12 reviewed a scenario for a possible joint attack by Israel and the United States on Iranian nuclear facilities.
In recent days, the heads of the Israeli security services have more than once hinted at the intensification of the arena with Iran.
Last Tuesday, Israeli Chief of Staff Herzi Halevy said that there are negative developments on the horizon that could lead to a military operation, and Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu declared that his country’s army has capabilities beyond imagination.
Channel 12 reviewed the scenario of a possible attack that Israel and the United States could launch on Iran’s nuclear facilities.
Channel 12 revealed in a report on Wednesday evening that Iran has 8 known facilities, and it is estimated that there are more secret facilities, through which Iran is pushing the military and secret track of its nuclear program, which aims to allow it to develop a nuclear warhead to be installed on a ballistic missile.
There are two main points whose targeting will greatly disrupt and distance the ability to develop the bomb.
The uranium enrichment facility in Natanz, the core of the nuclear program, where more than 9,000 centrifuges are located, and the site in Fordow, which is a uranium enrichment facility near the city of Qom, where The Iranians intend to build a batch of 3,000 centrifuges.
Both of these two facilities are working on enriching uranium to a level that will reach 90% in the future, which is enough to produce an atomic bomb.
According to Channel 12, “there are also secret facilities, unknown or known to some in the intelligence community in the West, where the atomic bomb can be assembled in the future”.
“And since in this case there is no need for a large area and halls with thousands of centrifuges, it is easy to hide these sites, and unlike uranium enrichment, which leaves an intelligence signature, it is difficult to track them and know whether or when Iran will make the decision to assemble the bomb”.
According to foreign reports, Mossad agents launched suicide drones in the hangars of the nuclear facility in Natanz and blew it up, including it, and after Iran suffered a series of mysterious attacks recently in Natanz, it decided to change its approach and simulate the conditions in Bordeaux – an underground site, dug into the side of a mountain, fortified with reinforced concrete, and protected by anti-aircraft missile batteries to make it difficult to attack from the air.
The report continued, “Now Iran has started digging the facility in Natanz underground as well, and is digging tunnels in the nearby mountains and intends to move the centrifuges to protected halls in the ground”.
“Therefore, the time dimension is very important in preparing and making the decision to bomb nuclear facilities… The more Iran digs its facilities underground, the more difficult it will be for attackers to achieve an effective outcome that would exact a heavy price on Iran. However, even this time window — the underground tunnel and explosive device assembly — is several years, and there is time to act for Israel”.
Regarding the Israeli attack plan, the Channel 12 said, “First, Israel will have to plan for focused targets whose striking will greatly delay the Iranian nuclear project – it won’t be able to attack all facilities at once, then it will have to build a fleet of planes and drones that can reach its range of 1,600 kilometers and back safely”.
“It’s estimated that such an attack will include about a hundred aircraft – combat and advanced warning aircraft to manage the mission and synchronization between the attacking aircraft, electronic warfare aircraft, air-to-air refueling aircraft and unmanned aerial vehicles for intelligence gathering, attack and airborne rescue forces (669), in case of Pilots fell in enemy territory”.
Channel 12 said that the attack will also require planning entry and exit paths, and building the ability to reach without exposing the matter until the moment of the bombing itself, as well as planning to escape when the area catches fire, and reducing the chances of attacking aircraft being hit by ground anti-aircraft fire or combat aircraft that will launch towards it.
“The Israeli Navy has F35 stealth aircraft, which will have to penetrate deep into enemy territory undetected, destroy the Iranian air defense system, and achieve air superiority for the bomb-laden F16 and F15 that will follow”.
“The most important thing in this process is armament… Israel received from the United States and also developed bunker-busting bombs, which, according to foreign reports, penetrate to depths of up to about twenty meters deep into the ground, and one bomb can be hit after another”.
“At the same point, the penetration deepens to the tens of meters required to reach Iranian bunkers”.
The report continued, “There is also a need for another type of armament – glide bombs that will be used to strike the many anti-aircraft batteries scattered around each of the nuclear facilities”.
This is a weak point for Israel, because the more Iran continues to deepen its installations in the ground, the more attack capabilities are required, which the Israel doesn’t have, according to the report.
“The Americans developed the GBU-57 Massive Ordnance Penetrator, the (mother of all bombs) which is a bunker-busting bomb that weighs more than 12 tons and can penetrate to a depth of about 60 meters underground”.
Israel doesn’t have attack aircraft that can carry bombs of this size, and the US Air Force uses the B2 stealth bomber and the B52 strategic bomber to carry these bombs.
The United States hasn’t transferred such bombs to any of its allies.
Channel 12 said, “There is permanent cooperation between Israel and the United States, aimed at building operational plans for a joint attack on Iran… US and Israeli fighter jets over the Mediterranean have rehearsed several times operational models to attack Iran, which included aerial refueling and division of bombing missions”.
“This is very important in the field of preparedness and joint display of strength and operational ability, but in this way the United States brings Israel closer to it, and almost prevents it from acting alone against Iran”.
Channel 12 report concluded, “If Israel wants to act on its own, it can, but the result won’t be similar to what the United States can do… However, it is an existing option, which is being built and perfected these days… This year alone, a budget of 5 billion shekels ($1.217 Billion) has been allocated for the purpose of supplying aircraft, weapons and training for a real offensive capability for Israel”.